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Red105
397082.7
312023.9
528555.8
Blue255
330375.3
3512105.6
249382.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145255050100200300350400105255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#12
82.74.2
75.871.6
Auto11.9
Teleop42.5
End28.3
blue by 23.0
3512
#21
105.61.8
97.198.9
Auto16.0
Teleop45.4
End44.3
Second
5285
#37
55.85.3
47.141.8
Auto6.8
Teleop35.7
End13.2
blue by 26.4
2493
#22
82.22.0
64.266.2
Auto7.2
Teleop36.9
End38.1
Third
3120
#56
23.95.3
29.724.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.2
blue by 51.5
3303
#44
75.32.0
66.468.5
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed