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Red255
481.8
669243.8
441593.6
Blue280
491369.3
60620.8
397082.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183171100150200250255280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#15
93.67.3
69.276.5
Auto13.0
Teleop46.6
End34.0
red by 10.9
3970
#12
82.78.7
67.175.8
Auto11.9
Teleop42.5
End28.3
Second
4
#10
81.88.0
63.371.3
Auto7.8
Teleop42.4
End31.6
red by 12.5
4913
#14
69.36.7
55.762.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End28.4
Third
6692
#33
43.85.3
43.849.1
Auto2.8
Teleop22.9
End18.1
red by 23.0
606
#59
20.810.1
41.451.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed