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Red185
457867.5
265970.4
551059.2
Blue205
340856.3
397082.7
84864.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99156050200250300350185205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#46
70.49.2
37.346.6
Auto6.5
Teleop31.4
End32.6
blue by 12.3
3970
#12
82.75.2
71.676.8
Auto11.9
Teleop42.5
End28.3
Second
4578
#28
67.59.2
33.042.3
Auto5.3
Teleop32.8
End29.4
red by 2.7
848
#30
64.87.1
42.749.8
Auto9.2
Teleop37.3
End18.4
Third
5510
#42
59.29.2
31.440.6
Auto5.9
Teleop34.2
End19.1
red by 2.9
3408
#17
56.37.1
26.533.6
Auto8.8
Teleop39.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed