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Red256
447064.1
29490.3
450172.5
Blue130
98055.8
510253.1
543238.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111210100300400256130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#36
90.34.5
79.584.0
Auto12.7
Teleop42.6
End35.0
red by 34.6
980
#25
55.80.2
59.459.6
Auto3.9
Teleop35.3
End16.5
Second
4501
#13
72.57.5
48.656.1
Auto5.3
Teleop32.9
End34.2
red by 19.4
5102
#41
53.10.3
38.939.2
Auto5.1
Teleop28.7
End19.3
Third
4470
#45
64.17.5
60.568.0
Auto5.2
Teleop39.8
End19.1
red by 25.8
5432
#51
38.30.3
28.829.1
Auto2.7
Teleop23.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed