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Red235
491369.3
70280.9
476337.6
Blue95
395234.5
388055.7
600033.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210107030040023595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#19
80.91.3
77.578.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End32.9
red by 25.1
3880
#40
55.72.3
49.447.0
Auto4.3
Teleop35.4
End16.0
Second
4913
#14
69.31.3
64.465.6
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End28.4
red by 34.8
3952
#31
34.52.3
32.129.8
Auto6.4
Teleop24.4
End3.8
Third
4763
#53
37.62.1
43.946.0
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End9.8
red by 3.8
6000
#57
33.92.3
34.532.1
Auto4.1
Teleop21.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed