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Red230
441593.6
510747.6
649945.3
Blue140
84864.8
395234.5
528555.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18916650100150250300230140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#15
93.61.9
89.691.5
Auto13.0
Teleop46.6
End34.0
red by 28.8
848
#30DQ
64.82.0
66.964.8
Auto9.2
Teleop37.3
End18.4
Second
5107
#34
47.62.9
44.747.6
Auto5.2
Teleop33.7
End8.7
blue by 8.2
5285
#37
55.82.0
57.855.8
Auto6.8
Teleop35.7
End13.2
Third
6499
#48
45.32.7
42.645.3
Auto9.9
Teleop30.3
End5.1
red by 10.8
3952
#31
34.52.0
36.634.5
Auto6.4
Teleop24.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed