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Red145
510747.6
330375.3
600033.9
Blue190
669243.8
164462.0
499945.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174153050100200250300350145190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#44
75.31.2
74.673.5
Auto8.4
Teleop33.2
End33.7
red by 13.4
1644
#38
62.04.3
60.965.2
Auto5.0
Teleop27.0
End29.9
Second
5107
#34
47.61.9
48.546.6
Auto5.2
Teleop33.7
End8.7
red by 1.7
4999
#43
45.94.3
47.051.4
Auto6.9
Teleop34.2
End4.8
Third
6000
#57
33.91.8
39.237.4
Auto4.1
Teleop21.8
End8.0
blue by 9.9
6692
#33
43.84.3
40.544.8
Auto2.8
Teleop22.9
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed