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Red305
425571.8
510484.3
427673.8
Blue357
132366.1
1678123.6
213580.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242790100400500600305357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#11
84.32.5
81.083.5
Auto9.3
Teleop38.7
End36.4
blue by 39.2
123.62.4
118.9121.3
Auto18.2
Teleop51.7
End53.7
Second
4276
#20
73.82.5
70.573.0
Auto5.4
Teleop35.2
End33.2
blue by 7.1
2135
#17
80.92.2
76.778.9
Auto7.9
Teleop38.2
End34.8
Third
4255
#26
71.82.5
68.571.0
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End24.7
red by 5.7
1323
#25
66.12.4
61.463.8
Auto16.2
Teleop33.3
End16.5