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Red171
75187.5
264337.3
325678.6
Blue115
213580.9
671141.7
425571.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641330100200300400171115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#3
87.52.1
65.267.3
Auto6.7
Teleop37.9
End43.0
red by 6.6
2135
#17Sur
80.94.5
46.842.2
Auto7.9
Teleop38.2
End34.8
Second
78.62.1
44.446.6
Auto14.1
Teleop34.1
End30.5
red by 6.8
4255
#26
71.84.5
38.834.2
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End24.7
Third
2643
#34Sur
37.32.1
42.144.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.9
End11.3
blue by 4.4
6711
#43DQ
41.74.5
45.240.7
Auto1.1
Teleop23.5
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed