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Red100
605940.2
107285.5
567760.0
Blue189
513450.9
427673.8
138857.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140122050100200250300100189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.53.4
63.560.1
Auto11.1
Teleop35.2
End39.2
red by 11.7
4276
#20
73.87.9
48.156.0
Auto5.4
Teleop35.2
End33.2
Second
5677
#13
60.03.4
28.725.3
Auto1.9
Teleop19.5
End38.6
red by 2.8
1388
#28
57.27.9
39.847.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End28.6
Third
6059
#45
40.23.4
38.034.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End10.8
blue by 10.7
5134
#10
50.97.9
30.138.0
Auto5.3
Teleop26.2
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed