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Red270
510484.3
567760.0
304552.9
Blue165
264337.3
236729.3
397067.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144113050200250300350270165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#11
84.311.9
58.970.9
Auto9.3
Teleop38.7
End36.4
red by 17.3
3970
#42
67.13.2
57.360.5
Auto6.0
Teleop37.0
End24.0
Second
5677
#13
60.011.9
38.750.6
Auto1.9
Teleop19.5
End38.6
red by 22.8
2643
#34
37.33.2
32.535.7
Auto4.1
Teleop21.9
End11.3
Third
3045
#19
52.911.9
34.946.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.7
End30.2
red by 23.5
2367
#46
29.33.2
21.524.7
Auto0.3
Teleop21.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed