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Red223
166260.4
264337.3
318952.6
Blue140
249356.1
427673.8
98041.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15116450100200250300223140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#12
60.40.3
60.961.2
Auto6.6
Teleop33.6
End20.2
blue by 13.4
4276
#20
73.81.4
55.153.7
Auto5.4
Teleop35.2
End33.2
Second
3189
#31
52.60.3
48.648.9
Auto9.8
Teleop23.8
End19.1
blue by 3.5
2493
#24
56.11.4
56.655.2
Auto4.5
Teleop29.1
End22.5
Third
2643
#34
37.30.3
35.736.0
Auto4.1
Teleop21.9
End11.3
blue by 4.5
980
#30
41.81.4
42.040.6
Auto3.8
Teleop30.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed