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Red220
98041.8
510484.3
585281.4
Blue210
167153.8
973113.3
665730.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1862220100300400220210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#11
84.31.2
69.470.6
Auto9.3
Teleop38.7
End36.4
blue by 28.9
973
#4
113.32.2
118.0115.8
Auto12.4
Teleop52.8
End48.1
Second
81.41.2
72.173.4
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End48.9
red by 27.6
1671
#21
53.82.0
55.653.5
Auto5.2
Teleop36.0
End12.5
Third
980
#30
41.81.2
40.641.8
Auto3.8
Teleop30.1
End7.8
red by 11.3
6657
#40
30.52.0
32.530.5
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed