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Red255
425571.8
510484.3
427673.8
Blue308
325678.6
585281.4
454372.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22024304006008001,0001,2001,400255308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#11
84.31.3
78.479.6
Auto9.3
Teleop38.7
End36.4
red by 3.0
81.42.4
79.882.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.9
End48.9
Second
4276
#20
73.81.3
67.969.2
Auto5.4
Teleop35.2
End33.2
blue by 4.8
78.62.4
77.079.4
Auto14.1
Teleop34.1
End30.5
Third
4255
#26
71.81.3
65.967.1
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End24.7
blue by 0.5
4543
#36
72.32.4
70.773.1
Auto7.7
Teleop36.9
End27.7