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Red260
317259.3
4961113.1
107399.6
Blue310
5114103.8
1153103.2
5401109.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278355100200400500600260310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#18
113.11.3
114.4113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop52.7
End46.4
red by 3.4
5401
#23
109.71.5
113.9112.4
Auto15.5
Teleop53.9
End40.3
Second
1073
#24
99.61.3
99.398.0
Auto13.0
Teleop50.0
End36.6
blue by 4.2
103.81.5
108.8107.3
Auto10.3
Teleop53.4
End40.1
Third
3172
#68
59.31.3
60.659.3
Auto6.5
Teleop31.9
End21.0
blue by 43.9
1153
#17
103.21.5
104.7103.2
Auto9.3
Teleop51.9
End42.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsMissed93%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed