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Red299
546288.7
5401109.7
5024123.7
Blue336
181682.7
876101.6
195145.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533300100200400500600700800299336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.72.2
119.0116.8
Auto12.2
Teleop61.7
End49.8
blue by 22.1
195
#5
145.81.3
134.6135.9
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
Second
5401
#23
109.72.2
115.5113.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.9
End40.3
red by 8.2
876
#30
101.61.3
111.3112.6
Auto10.8
Teleop49.4
End41.4
Third
5462
#65
88.72.2
97.895.6
Auto11.2
Teleop41.8
End35.6
red by 5.9
1816
#28
82.71.3
70.972.2
Auto8.9
Teleop37.5
End36.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
67%Rotor oddsEarned2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed64%Pressure oddsEarned