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Red350
1684101.3
4003125.0
128887.5
Blue389
445698.3
2451105.5
5114103.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332950100200400500600350389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#10
125.02.5
112.5115.1
Auto16.0
Teleop56.9
End52.2
red by 19.6
2451
#21
105.56.9
96.3103.2
Auto24.7
Teleop51.4
End29.4
Second
1684
#38
101.32.5
110.6113.1
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
blue by 2.5
103.86.9
96.1103.0
Auto10.3
Teleop53.4
End40.1
Third
1288
#64
87.52.5
88.791.3
Auto7.7
Teleop44.6
End35.2
blue by 10.7
4456
#45
98.36.9
92.899.8
Auto4.8
Teleop50.3
End43.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
29%Rotor oddsEarned17%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsEarned