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Qual 492017 Carson Division
Red285
195145.8
440598.2
1080101.9
Blue347
177103.5
495986.4
5053120.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34631702006008001,0001,2001,400285347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#5
145.82.7
135.9→133.2
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
red by 25.6
5053
#19
120.22.8
111.3→114.1
Auto13.7
Teleop50.6
End55.9
Second
1080
#26
101.92.7
101.7→99.0
Auto10.6
Teleop53.3
End38.0
blue by 1.6
177
#27
103.52.8
105.0→107.8
Auto11.4
Teleop53.0
End39.1
Third
4405
#58
98.22.7
87.5→84.8
Auto10.6
Teleop43.2
End44.4
red by 11.8
4959
#40
86.42.8
88.7→91.5
Auto11.7
Teleop44.8
End29.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
65%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed