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Red430
181682.7
4961113.1
632990.4
Blue205
338190.6
107399.6
3538107.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693340100200300400500600430205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#18
113.10.6
105.9105.3
Auto14.0
Teleop52.7
End46.4
red by 5.6
3538
#57
107.57.0
122.3115.3
Auto11.6
Teleop50.8
End45.1
Second
6329
#37
90.40.6
86.485.7
Auto5.0
Teleop50.3
End35.1
blue by 9.2
1073
#24
99.67.0
92.385.4
Auto13.0
Teleop50.0
End36.6
Third
1816
#28
82.70.6
72.271.6
Auto8.9
Teleop37.5
End36.3
blue by 7.8
3381
#52
90.67.0
94.887.8
Auto13.0
Teleop48.8
End28.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
37%Rotor oddsMissed31%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed