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Red349
177103.5
249183.7
33140.4
Blue349
338190.6
4003125.0
2194117.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344345325330335340350355360349349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
140.4
Auto26.1
Teleop61.9
End52.4
red by 15.3
4003
#10
125.0
Auto16.0
Teleop56.9
End52.2
Second
177
#27
103.5
Auto11.4
Teleop53.0
End39.1
blue by 14.4
2194
#43
117.9
Auto13.9
Teleop51.6
End52.5
Third
2491
#53
83.7
Auto9.0
Teleop46.3
End28.4
blue by 6.8
3381
#52
90.6
Auto13.0
Teleop48.8
End28.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
32%Rotor oddsMissed29%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed