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Red351
5114103.8
3538107.5
1796116.4
Blue245
4253115.9
453990.5
5401109.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336361100200300400500351245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#15
116.41.6
105.5107.0
Auto13.8
Teleop61.5
End41.2
red by 0.6
4253
#16
115.96.3
119.8113.5
Auto11.1
Teleop57.1
End47.7
Second
3538
#57
107.51.6
115.3116.9
Auto11.6
Teleop50.8
End45.1
blue by 2.3
5401
#23
109.76.3
121.2114.9
Auto15.5
Teleop53.9
End40.3
Third
103.81.6
101.4103.0
Auto10.3
Teleop53.4
End40.1
red by 13.4
4539
#67
90.56.3
98.492.1
Auto5.6
Teleop43.1
End41.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
83%Rotor oddsEarned44%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed