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Red185
419893.4
445698.3
249183.7
Blue279
1153103.2
50399.1
239988.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923190100200400500185279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#45
98.36.4
102.295.8
Auto4.8
Teleop50.3
End43.1
blue by 5.0
1153
#17
103.21.4
105.4104.0
Auto9.3
Teleop51.9
End42.0
Second
4198
#36
93.46.4
97.090.6
Auto9.3
Teleop43.3
End40.8
blue by 5.6
503
#48
99.11.4
106.8105.4
Auto12.4
Teleop51.9
End34.8
Third
2491
#53
83.76.4
82.175.6
Auto9.0
Teleop46.3
End28.4
blue by 4.5
2399
#32
88.21.4
87.586.1
Auto9.1
Teleop40.0
End39.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed38%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed