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Red381
5024123.7
33140.4
2451105.5
Blue375
2832113.1
107399.6
26392.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943120100200500600700800381375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
140.41.1
135.4136.5
Auto26.1
Teleop61.9
End52.4
red by 27.3
2832
#31
113.12.8
115.7118.5
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End53.1
Second
123.71.1
123.8124.9
Auto12.2
Teleop61.7
End49.8
red by 24.1
1073
#24
99.62.8
96.599.3
Auto13.0
Teleop50.0
End36.6
Third
2451
#21
105.51.1
104.9106.1
Auto24.7
Teleop51.4
End29.4
red by 13.4
263
#61
92.12.8
95.398.1
Auto4.8
Teleop44.9
End42.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
86%Rotor oddsEarned18%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
20%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed