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Red472
2194117.9
303127.0
2451105.5
Blue538
195145.8
1080101.9
177103.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435437360380400420460480500520472538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
127.00.5
126.5127.0
Auto18.7
Teleop56.7
End51.7
blue by 18.8
195
#5
145.81.5
144.4145.8
Auto34.7
Teleop64.4
End46.7
Second
2194
#43
117.90.5
117.4117.9
Auto13.9
Teleop51.6
End52.5
red by 14.4
177
#27
103.51.5
102.1103.5
Auto11.4
Teleop53.0
End39.1
Third
2451
#21
105.50.5
104.9105.5
Auto24.7
Teleop51.4
End29.4
red by 3.5
1080
#26
101.91.5
100.4101.9
Auto10.6
Teleop53.3
End38.0