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Red415
1690129.3
2992102.5
971130.4
Blue519
987148.1
2122139.0
491091.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443453250300350400500550600415519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
130.41.7
130.8129.1
Auto24.3
Teleop63.8
End42.2
blue by 17.8
987
#5
148.10.2
149.4149.2
Auto24.1
Teleop61.5
End62.5
Second
129.31.7
131.0129.3
Auto32.8
Teleop51.8
End44.8
blue by 9.7
139.00.2
140.2140.0
Auto33.9
Teleop54.8
End50.3
Third
2992
#21
102.51.7
102.9101.2
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
red by 10.9
4910
#33
91.50.2
92.992.7
Auto7.3
Teleop46.7
End37.5