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Red388
2974104.5
2992102.5
971130.4
Blue509
631498.3
2122139.0
987148.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414450200250300350500550600388509

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
130.40.7
129.6130.4
Auto24.3
Teleop63.8
End42.2
blue by 17.8
987
#5
148.10.1
148.0148.1
Auto24.1
Teleop61.5
End62.5
Second
2974
#46
104.50.7
103.8104.5
Auto13.9
Teleop45.6
End45.0
blue by 34.5
139.00.1
138.9139.0
Auto33.9
Teleop54.8
End50.3
Third
2992
#21
102.50.7
101.7102.5
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
red by 4.2
6314
#54
98.30.1
98.298.3
Auto9.6
Teleop47.7
End41.0