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Red391
157792.2
987148.1
2930108.0
Blue337
93291.7
552687.5
3339112.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368296100200400500600391337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#5
148.13.4
148.4151.8
Auto24.1
Teleop61.5
End62.5
red by 35.6
112.61.4
114.3115.7
Auto13.6
Teleop53.4
End45.5
Second
108.03.4
102.8106.2
Auto16.2
Teleop52.2
End39.6
red by 16.3
932
#22
91.71.4
90.391.7
Auto9.6
Teleop41.3
End40.8
Third
1577
#41
92.23.4
89.192.5
Auto8.6
Teleop52.0
End31.6
red by 4.6
5526
#57
87.51.4
86.187.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End37.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
31%Rotor oddsEarned13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
14%Pressure oddsEarned3%Pressure oddsMissed