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Red226
3339112.6
131169.1
631498.3
Blue304
263796.1
634862.9
2059100.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012570100200400500600700226304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.63.6
111.9108.3
Auto13.6
Teleop53.4
End45.5
red by 12.4
2059
#20
100.23.3
103.0106.2
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
Second
6314
#54
98.33.6
96.292.5
Auto9.6
Teleop47.7
End41.0
red by 2.2
2637
#38
96.13.3
93.596.7
Auto10.5
Teleop50.7
End35.0
Third
1311
#66
69.13.6
72.568.9
Auto9.0
Teleop31.7
End28.4
red by 6.2
6348
#47
62.93.6
53.857.4
Auto8.3
Teleop33.7
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed