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Red290
670483.3
2059100.2
552687.5
Blue145
170097.0
2359111.5
364668.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573220100200300400290145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#20
100.22.2
93.495.6
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
blue by 11.3
2359
#15
111.510.2
112.8102.7
Auto14.7
Teleop47.0
End49.8
Second
5526
#57
87.52.2
84.286.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End37.0
blue by 9.5
1700
#30
97.010.2
98.388.1
Auto13.4
Teleop46.2
End37.5
Third
6704
#63
83.32.2
74.877.0
Auto1.9
Teleop39.2
End42.3
red by 15.2
3646
#61
68.110.2
86.676.4
Auto3.5
Teleop35.0
End29.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed