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Red300
6502116.4
631498.3
190287.1
Blue463
2930108.0
1425114.2
4911106.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288330100200400500600300463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#34
116.41.4
112.6113.9
Auto13.1
Teleop48.7
End54.6
red by 2.2
1425
#16
114.23.3
111.2114.5
Auto11.8
Teleop52.3
End50.1
Second
6314
#54
98.31.4
86.888.2
Auto9.6
Teleop47.7
End41.0
blue by 9.7
108.03.3
92.896.1
Auto16.2
Teleop52.2
End39.6
Third
1902
#64
87.11.4
79.981.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.5
End42.0
blue by 19.2
4911
#18
106.33.3
104.4107.7
Auto11.1
Teleop54.6
End40.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed54%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed