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Red365
3339112.6
302495.6
17992.0
Blue255
639665.2
3802102.0
1746121.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282840100200400500600700800365255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.66.1
112.9106.9
Auto13.6
Teleop53.4
End45.5
blue by 9.1
1746
#17
121.71.4
119.8118.4
Auto16.5
Teleop55.2
End50.0
Second
3024
#36
95.66.1
98.392.2
Auto9.8
Teleop52.8
End33.0
blue by 6.4
3802
#24
102.01.4
98.096.7
Auto12.4
Teleop49.4
End40.2
Third
179
#14
92.06.1
94.788.7
Auto7.8
Teleop52.6
End31.6
red by 26.9
6396
#60
65.21.4
57.956.6
Auto9.0
Teleop32.1
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor oddsEarned7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed