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Red230
2992102.5
164895.9
364668.1
Blue330
364886.5
2930108.0
190287.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29926605001,0001,5002,0002,500230330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#21
102.55.0
108.4103.4
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
blue by 5.6
108.03.2
96.199.3
Auto16.2
Teleop52.2
End39.6
Second
1648
#28
95.95.0
97.592.5
Auto9.2
Teleop47.7
End39.0
red by 8.8
1902
#64
87.13.2
81.384.4
Auto7.6
Teleop37.5
End42.0
Third
3646
#61
68.15.0
73.668.7
Auto3.5
Teleop35.0
End29.5
blue by 18.4
3648
#45
86.53.2
79.983.1
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End43.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
11%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed