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Red420
4334117.4
599101.4
3802102.0
Blue330
2122139.0
364668.1
6502116.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311344150200250400450500420330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.43.0
108.9111.9
Auto12.6
Teleop55.4
End49.4
blue by 21.6
139.00.5
138.0138.5
Auto33.9
Teleop54.8
End50.3
Second
3802
#24
102.03.0
96.799.7
Auto12.4
Teleop49.4
End40.2
blue by 14.4
6502
#34
116.40.5
116.0116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop48.7
End54.6
Third
599
#39
101.43.0
94.397.3
Auto12.6
Teleop43.4
End45.4
red by 33.4
3646
#61
68.10.5
68.769.2
Auto3.5
Teleop35.0
End29.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed44%Pressure oddsEarned