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Red282
971130.4
2974104.5
1690129.3
Blue451
3238117.6
170097.0
263796.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494398100200300600700800900282451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
130.42.5
135.4132.8
Auto24.3
Teleop63.8
End42.2
red by 12.7
117.60.8
121.0121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop59.1
End42.0
Second
129.32.5
135.6133.0
Auto32.8
Teleop51.8
End44.8
red by 32.3
1700
#30
97.00.8
100.4101.2
Auto13.4
Teleop46.2
End37.5
Third
2974
#46
104.52.5
105.8103.3
Auto13.9
Teleop45.6
End45.0
red by 8.4
2637
#38
96.10.8
95.496.1
Auto10.5
Teleop50.7
End35.0