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Red405
971130.4
2992102.5
1690129.3
Blue229
3339112.6
170097.0
3238117.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452443200300400500600700405229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#2
130.40.4
132.8132.5
Auto24.3
Teleop63.8
End42.2
red by 12.7
117.62.5
121.8119.3
Auto16.5
Teleop59.1
End42.0
Second
129.30.4
133.0132.7
Auto32.8
Teleop51.8
End44.8
red by 16.7
112.62.5
116.7114.3
Auto13.6
Teleop53.4
End45.5
Third
2992
#21
102.50.4
104.9104.6
Auto17.8
Teleop52.3
End32.3
red by 5.4
1700
#30
97.02.5
101.298.7
Auto13.4
Teleop46.2
End37.5