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Red290
263778.4
312891.5
519981.6
Blue296
473871.5
210284.8
283974.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2592270100200300400500290296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
91.51.4
88.289.6
Auto11.2
Teleop35.4
End44.9
red by 6.7
84.80.9
81.282.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End34.5
Second
5199
#47
81.61.4
78.379.7
Auto8.8
Teleop46.3
End26.4
red by 7.6
2839
#15
74.00.9
70.471.2
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End36.2
Third
2637
#18
78.41.4
75.176.5
Auto6.4
Teleop32.3
End39.7
red by 6.9
4738
#14
71.50.9
67.968.8
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End39.1