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Red255
347666.8
364782.3
153898.5
Blue305
519981.6
312891.5
263778.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264235150200300350400255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.50.3
98.398.5
Auto15.5
Teleop47.0
End36.0
red by 7.0
3128
#10
91.52.5
83.485.9
Auto11.2
Teleop35.4
End44.9
Second
82.30.3
82.082.3
Auto6.7
Teleop40.7
End35.0
red by 0.8
5199
#47
81.62.5
73.576.0
Auto8.8
Teleop46.3
End26.4
Third
3476
#16
66.80.3
66.566.8
Auto9.7
Teleop39.5
End17.6
blue by 11.6
2637
#18
78.42.5
70.372.8
Auto6.4
Teleop32.3
End39.7