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Red288
513752.8
39998.2
96868.1
Blue195
395353.9
585168.0
301172.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232010100300400288195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#5
98.22.6
94.797.3
Auto13.2
Teleop42.6
End42.4
red by 26.2
3011
#23
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.5
End29.9
Second
968
#31
68.12.6
64.667.2
Auto4.3
Teleop33.1
End30.7
red by 0.1
68.00.0
67.968.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End27.3
Third
5137
#54
52.82.8
49.051.8
Auto6.4
Teleop32.8
End13.6
blue by 1.1
53.90.0
53.853.9
Auto2.2
Teleop33.4
End18.3