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Red310
283974.0
210284.8
473871.5
Blue305
332853.7
347376.6
581870.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220196050100150250300350400310305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.83.2
76.579.7
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End34.5
red by 8.2
76.64.0
72.776.8
Auto7.2
Teleop32.9
End36.5
Second
2839
#15
74.03.2
65.768.9
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End36.2
red by 4.0
5818
#12
70.03.7
66.470.1
Auto8.8
Teleop31.0
End30.2
Third
4738
#14
71.53.2
63.266.4
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End39.1
red by 17.8
3328
#24
53.74.0
49.853.8
Auto6.9
Teleop29.5
End17.3