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Red206
214480.9
602574.4
248570.4
Blue145
458340.7
254363.6
162262.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2631670100200300400206145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#40
80.91.0
84.483.4
Auto9.4
Teleop38.1
End33.4
red by 17.3
63.60.9
65.364.4
Auto6.0
Teleop33.0
End24.5
Second
74.41.1
78.277.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.9
End30.8
red by 12.4
1622
#62
62.00.8
63.662.8
Auto7.2
Teleop24.6
End30.3
Third
2485
#29
70.41.0
73.772.7
Auto11.5
Teleop38.9
End20.1
red by 29.7
4583
#44
40.70.9
42.441.5
Auto3.4
Teleop21.9
End15.4