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Red140
585168.0
302151.0
183667.0
Blue106
265855.1
513752.8
413947.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14114650100200250140106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.00.6
48.649.2
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End27.3
red by 12.8
2658
#58
55.13.6
51.447.9
Auto8.7
Teleop31.2
End15.3
Second
1836
#17
67.00.6
44.044.6
Auto2.7
Teleop33.2
End31.0
red by 14.2
5137
#54
52.83.6
40.036.5
Auto6.4
Teleop32.8
End13.6
Third
3021
#52
51.00.6
42.342.9
Auto6.3
Teleop27.9
End16.8
red by 3.5
4139
#51
47.53.6
46.643.0
Auto10.0
Teleop27.3
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed