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Red221
312891.5
248570.4
513752.8
Blue255
153898.5
126645.8
512462.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190191100150250300221255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#10
91.51.0
70.869.8
Auto11.2
Teleop35.4
End44.9
blue by 7.0
98.58.2
82.891.0
Auto15.5
Teleop47.0
End36.0
Second
2485
#29
70.41.0
68.467.4
Auto11.5
Teleop38.9
End20.1
red by 8.4
5124
#39
62.08.2
56.164.3
Auto7.9
Teleop30.1
End23.9
Third
5137
#54
52.81.0
41.240.1
Auto6.4
Teleop32.8
End13.6
red by 7.0
1266
#48
45.88.2
42.550.7
Auto8.2
Teleop23.2
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed