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Red270
520964.3
562772.6
602574.4
Blue175
416060.1
246530.1
126645.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2021240100300400270175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.47.1
72.679.7
Auto7.7
Teleop35.9
End30.8
red by 14.3
4160
#46
60.15.2
45.750.9
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End31.2
Second
5627
#11
72.67.1
63.670.8
Auto5.3
Teleop29.4
End38.0
red by 26.9
1266
#48
45.85.2
50.755.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.2
End14.4
Third
5209
#33
64.37.1
44.551.6
Auto5.0
Teleop36.6
End22.6
red by 34.2
2465
#64
30.15.2
31.937.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed