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Red250
157268.5
580563.9
214480.9
Blue335
513752.8
254363.6
347376.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220163050100200250300350400250335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#40
80.95.4
79.084.4
Auto9.4
Teleop38.1
End33.4
red by 4.3
76.68.0
64.872.7
Auto7.2
Teleop32.9
End36.5
Second
1572
#13
68.55.0
63.468.5
Auto6.0
Teleop31.4
End31.1
red by 4.9
63.68.0
57.365.3
Auto6.0
Teleop33.0
End24.5
Third
5805
#57
63.95.0
58.963.9
Auto9.1
Teleop32.4
End22.4
red by 11.1
5137
#54
52.88.0
41.149.1
Auto6.4
Teleop32.8
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed