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Red153
283974.0
210284.8
473871.5
Blue155
248570.4
602574.4
214480.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292450100300400500600700153155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.82.1
81.379.2
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End34.5
red by 3.9
2144
#40
80.92.6
82.479.8
Auto9.4
Teleop38.1
End33.4
Second
2839
#15
74.02.1
70.568.4
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End36.2
blue by 0.5
74.42.8
76.173.3
Auto7.7
Teleop35.9
End30.8
Third
4738
#14
71.52.1
68.065.9
Auto3.6
Teleop28.9
End39.1
red by 1.1
2485
#29
70.42.4
71.969.4
Auto11.5
Teleop38.9
End20.1