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Red354
499061.9
254138.2
971116.5
Blue330
3256113.5
60496.6
203567.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349283100200400500600354330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
138.20.4
139.7140.0
Auto18.9
Teleop64.0
End55.2
red by 24.7
113.50.6
113.5114.1
Auto17.6
Teleop43.5
End52.4
Second
971
#2
116.50.4
118.0118.4
Auto22.6
Teleop50.3
End43.6
red by 19.9
604
#3
96.60.8
96.597.3
Auto14.5
Teleop45.9
End36.3
Third
4990
#22
61.90.4
63.463.8
Auto9.2
Teleop21.0
End31.8
blue by 6.0
2035
#12
67.90.7
67.968.6
Auto9.3
Teleop37.2
End21.4