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Red330
502671.8
145871.8
490475.0
Blue305
170062.9
172684.3
66893.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192470400600800330305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#14
75.02.5
72.675.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End37.5
blue by 18.1
668
#17
93.12.0
89.891.8
Auto10.2
Teleop41.7
End41.2
Second
71.82.5
69.471.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.4
End41.5
blue by 12.4
84.32.0
80.983.0
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End42.8
Third
5026
#16
71.82.5
69.371.9
Auto11.6
Teleop45.9
End14.3
red by 8.8
1700
#28
62.91.8
59.961.7
Auto5.1
Teleop29.1
End28.7