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Red371
203567.9
60496.6
3256113.5
Blue255
570064.3
666277.6
550761.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031890100400500371255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.6
111.9111.3
Auto17.6
Teleop43.5
End52.4
red by 35.9
77.61.8
74.576.3
Auto6.9
Teleop26.2
End44.5
Second
604
#3
96.60.8
94.493.6
Auto14.5
Teleop45.9
End36.3
red by 32.3
5700
#27
64.31.6
61.563.1
Auto7.3
Teleop32.2
End24.9
Third
2035
#12
67.90.7
66.065.2
Auto9.3
Teleop37.2
End21.4
red by 6.3
5507
#15
61.71.6
58.860.5
Auto12.5
Teleop22.5
End26.7