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Red280
476565.3
81293.1
549991.1
Blue260
415975.2
642952.9
285462.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2661780100300400500280260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#4
93.10.9
90.391.2
Auto6.7
Teleop43.3
End43.2
red by 17.9
4159
#21
75.21.3
72.173.5
Auto6.2
Teleop34.3
End34.8
Second
5499
#11
91.11.0
88.089.0
Auto13.5
Teleop50.9
End26.7
red by 28.9
2854
#34
62.21.5
58.860.3
Auto10.1
Teleop37.3
End14.8
Third
4765
#19
65.31.1
61.963.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.7
End29.7
red by 12.4
52.91.5
49.551.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.8
End23.0