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Red215
594069.3
642952.9
490475.0
Blue210
285462.2
541954.1
66893.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148121050100200250215210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#14
75.08.7
53.061.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.6
End37.5
blue by 18.1
668
#17
93.17.4
58.666.0
Auto10.2
Teleop41.7
End41.2
Second
5940
#13
69.38.7
46.154.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End43.3
red by 7.1
2854
#34
62.27.4
28.235.6
Auto10.1
Teleop37.3
End14.8
Third
52.98.7
37.946.6
Auto5.0
Teleop24.8
End23.0
blue by 1.2
5419
#38
54.17.4
32.039.3
Auto3.3
Teleop25.1
End25.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed